Anhelina Kalinina vs Aryna Sabalenka — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
Anhelina Kalinina
UKR32
Anhelina Kalinina
#59WTA
1827ELO
1743Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Kalinina A.
6-4 1-6 6-1
Sabalenka A.
Kalinina A.
6162
Sabalenka A.
4611

Anhelina Kalinina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 1-6 6-1 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Anhelina Kalinina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 1–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinina A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kalinina A.Sabalenka A.
—
Serve
96
—
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kalinina A.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 165). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kalinina A.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
98
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
98
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kalinina A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Sabalenka A.
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1743
Surface ELO
10.0+458 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1827
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2220
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.6
Country comfort
5.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kalinina A.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Slight edge
97
90

Kalinina A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Collins D.
Rybakina E.[4]
7-56-3
Semi-finals
Collins D.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Azarenka V.[27]
6-40-67-62
Quarter-finals
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Putintseva Y.
7-641-66-3
Rybakina E.[4]
Sakkari M.[8]
7-56-746-4
Collins D.
Garcia C.[23]
6-36-2
R16
Sakkari M.[8]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
W/O
Garcia C.[23]
Gauff C.[3]
6-31-66-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Keys M.[17]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[20]
7-616-3
Putintseva Y.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-47-65
Azarenka V.[27]
Boulter K.[24]
7-56-1
Collins D.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-2
R32
Cirstea S.[19]
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Garcia C.[23]
Osaka N.
7-647-5
Sakkari M.[8]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-56-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
6-43-66-3
Navarro E.[20]
Paolini J.[12]
6-23-66-0
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[31]
7-56-4
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-36-1
Keys M.[17]
Wang X.
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[4]
Townsend T.
6-36-736-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-47-5
Putintseva Y.
Minnen G.
6-22-66-4
Kalinina A.[32]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-41-66-1
Collins D.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Boulter K.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[11]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-776-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Dodin O.
6-46-0
R64
Pegula J.[5]
Zhu L.
6-44-1
Garcia C.[23]
Tomova V.
6-15-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Liu C.
6-01-0
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[7]
Siniakova K.
4-66-31-0
Boulter K.[24]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-651-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Giorgi C.
6-16-1
Townsend T.
Mertens E.[25]
6-26-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Vekic D.
6-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Timofeeva M.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[12]
Volynets K.
7-687-5
Fernandez L.[31]
Arango E.
6-46-2
Gauff C.[3]
Podoroska N.
6-16-2
Dodin O.
Rus A.
6-43-66-3
Collins D.
Potapova A.[30]
6-26-2
Yastremska D.[28]
Saville D.
7-57-5
Keys M.[17]
Shnaider D.
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[4]
Tauson C.
3-67-56-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Stearns P.
7-53-66-4
Minnen G.
Tsurenko L.
7-56-1
Kalinina A.[32]
Wozniacki C.
5-77-56-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Badosa P.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[20]
Hunter S.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Wang X.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Siegemund L.
7-636-4
Avanesyan E.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-14-66-3
Wang X.
Kudermetova V.[16]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[8]
Yuan Y.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
Rogers S.
6-26-1
Cirstea S.[19]
Stephens S.
6-26-1
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Parry D.
3-66-16-4
Putintseva Y.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-14-66-3
R128
Tauson C.
Dolehide C.
6-33-66-2
Hunter S.
Trevisan M.
6-33-0
Volynets K.
Kenin S.
6-24-66-3
Arango E.
Maria T.
6-26-3
Stephens S.
Kerber A.
6-26-3
Collins D.
Pera B.
3-66-16-1
Tsurenko L.
Linette M.
2-66-16-4
Wozniacki C.
Burel C.
6-16-4
Siegemund L.
Krunic A.
4-66-26-2
Rogers S.
Fruhvirtova L.
4-66-46-2
Siniakova K.
Bogdan A.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Williams V.
6-36-3
Giorgi C.
Frech M.
6-46-2
Timofeeva M.
Gracheva V.
6-36-3
Zhu L.
Bouzkova M.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Martic P.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-03-66-1
Saville D.
Zhang S.
6-42-66-4
Wang X.
Baptiste H.
7-616-3
Townsend T.
Bronzetti L.
3-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Carle M.
6-36-3
Parry D.
Cristian J.
7-626-2
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Badosa P.
Halep S.
1-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Blinkova A.
6-46-2
Vekic D.
Pliskova K.
6-42-66-2
Tomova V.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-4
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-26-3
Putintseva Y.
Bucsa C.
6-23-66-4