Danielle Collins vs Anastasia Potapova — Miami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
Danielle Collins
USA
Danielle Collins
#701WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
Anastasia Potapova
RUS30
Anastasia Potapova
#27WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Collins D.
6-2 6-2
Potapova A.
Collins D.
662
Potapova A.
220

Danielle Collins defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-2 6-2 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #27, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Collins D.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Serve advantage — Collins D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collins D.Potapova A.
—
Serve
11
—
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Collins D.Potapova A.
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
4.8
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Collins D.Potapova A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
89
Break points won·Slight edge
99
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Collins D.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Potapova A.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1772
Surface ELO
5.2+32 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1904
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
7.3
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Collins D.Potapova A.
Freshness·
—
99

Potapova A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Collins D.
Rybakina E.[4]
7-56-3
Semi-finals
Collins D.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Azarenka V.[27]
6-40-67-62
Quarter-finals
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Putintseva Y.
7-641-66-3
Rybakina E.[4]
Sakkari M.[8]
7-56-746-4
Collins D.
Garcia C.[23]
6-36-2
R16
Sakkari M.[8]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
W/O
Garcia C.[23]
Gauff C.[3]
6-31-66-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Keys M.[17]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[20]
7-616-3
Putintseva Y.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-47-65
Azarenka V.[27]
Boulter K.[24]
7-56-1
Collins D.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-2
R32
Cirstea S.[19]
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Garcia C.[23]
Osaka N.
7-647-5
Sakkari M.[8]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-56-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
6-43-66-3
Navarro E.[20]
Paolini J.[12]
6-23-66-0
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[31]
7-56-4
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-36-1
Keys M.[17]
Wang X.
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[4]
Townsend T.
6-36-736-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-47-5
Putintseva Y.
Minnen G.
6-22-66-4
Kalinina A.[32]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-41-66-1
Collins D.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Boulter K.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[11]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-776-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Dodin O.
6-46-0
R64
Pegula J.[5]
Zhu L.
6-44-1
Garcia C.[23]
Tomova V.
6-15-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Liu C.
6-01-0
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[7]
Siniakova K.
4-66-31-0
Boulter K.[24]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-651-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Giorgi C.
6-16-1
Townsend T.
Mertens E.[25]
6-26-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Vekic D.
6-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Timofeeva M.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[12]
Volynets K.
7-687-5
Fernandez L.[31]
Arango E.
6-46-2
Gauff C.[3]
Podoroska N.
6-16-2
Dodin O.
Rus A.
6-43-66-3
Collins D.
Potapova A.[30]
6-26-2
Yastremska D.[28]
Saville D.
7-57-5
Keys M.[17]
Shnaider D.
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[4]
Tauson C.
3-67-56-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Stearns P.
7-53-66-4
Minnen G.
Tsurenko L.
7-56-1
Kalinina A.[32]
Wozniacki C.
5-77-56-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Badosa P.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[20]
Hunter S.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Wang X.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Siegemund L.
7-636-4
Avanesyan E.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-14-66-3
Wang X.
Kudermetova V.[16]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[8]
Yuan Y.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
Rogers S.
6-26-1
Cirstea S.[19]
Stephens S.
6-26-1
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Parry D.
3-66-16-4
Putintseva Y.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-14-66-3
R128
Tauson C.
Dolehide C.
6-33-66-2
Hunter S.
Trevisan M.
6-33-0
Volynets K.
Kenin S.
6-24-66-3
Arango E.
Maria T.
6-26-3
Stephens S.
Kerber A.
6-26-3
Collins D.
Pera B.
3-66-16-1
Tsurenko L.
Linette M.
2-66-16-4
Wozniacki C.
Burel C.
6-16-4
Siegemund L.
Krunic A.
4-66-26-2
Rogers S.
Fruhvirtova L.
4-66-46-2
Siniakova K.
Bogdan A.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Williams V.
6-36-3
Giorgi C.
Frech M.
6-46-2
Timofeeva M.
Gracheva V.
6-36-3
Zhu L.
Bouzkova M.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Martic P.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-03-66-1
Saville D.
Zhang S.
6-42-66-4
Wang X.
Baptiste H.
7-616-3
Townsend T.
Bronzetti L.
3-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Carle M.
6-36-3
Parry D.
Cristian J.
7-626-2
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Badosa P.
Halep S.
1-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Blinkova A.
6-46-2
Vekic D.
Pliskova K.
6-42-66-2
Tomova V.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-4
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-26-3
Putintseva Y.
Bucsa C.
6-23-66-4