Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Raul Brancaccio

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2

ESP

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

#457ATP

1353ELO

1301Clay ELO

25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWWLWLL

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 18 March 2024

clay

ITA4

Raul Brancaccio

#248ATP

1492ELO

1465Clay ELO

29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWLWLLLW

Alvarez Varona N.

6-4 6-3

Brancaccio R.

Alvarez Varona N.

662

Brancaccio R.

430

Nicolas Alvarez Varona defeated Raul Brancaccio 6-4 6-3 in the Murcia CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Raul Brancaccio came in ranked #248, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Match story: Nicolas Alvarez Varona closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Alvarez Varona N.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Brancaccio R.

Brancaccio R.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Alvarez Varona N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Alvarez Varona N.Brancaccio R.

1st serve in·Even

64%

61%

1st serve points won·Even

70%

68%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

48%

Service points won·Even

62%

60%

Return points won·Even

40%

41%

Break points saved·Even

57%

58%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.3

2.8

Double faults / match·Even

3.7

3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Alvarez Varona N.Brancaccio R.

Clutch Rating·Slight edge

Break points saved·Slight edge

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Clear edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Alvarez Varona N.

3.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Injury return: 70 days (−1.2)

Brancaccio R.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)

Form & Matchup

2.2Clay Elo 1301

Surface ELO

7.8+163 Clay Elo edge

2.8Overall Elo 1353

ELO gap

7.2Overall Elo 1492

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

2.1

Surface form

4.2

0.0Lost last 4

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

Prev. match

9.0

6.0

Surface transition

6.0

Context

6.0

Defending pts

6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.