Roberto Carballes Baena vs Aleksandar VukicMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
Carballes Baena R.
7-6 6-3
Vukic A.
Carballes Baena R.
7762
Vukic A.
6230

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Aleksandar Vukic 7-6 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Vukic came in ranked #104, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Roberto Carballes Baena claimed a first win over Aleksandar Vukic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardAleksandar Vukic6-4 7-6(7)

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Vukic A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carballes Baena R.Vukic A.
Serve
21
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
61
58
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Dominant
58
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
64
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
5.0+5 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1630
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.6
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
4.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
87

Carballes Baena R.: 17 days rest · Vukic A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%