Emiliana Arango vs Tatjana MariaMiami Round of 128

Miami · WTA · Round of 128
#96WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Arango E.
6-2 6-3
Maria T.
Arango E.
662
Maria T.
230

Emiliana Arango defeated Tatjana Maria 6-2 6-3 in the Miami round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Emiliana Arango claimed a first win over Tatjana Maria in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-10NottinghamR32grassTatjana Maria4-6 7-6(7) 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Maria T.
0
Serve
9
62
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
52%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Even
53%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
13
Break points saved·Dominant
56
31
Break points won·Even
81
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
70
9
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
4.8+32 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
4.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
64

Arango E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw