Emiliana Arango vs Alexandra EalaMiami Qualifying Round 2

Miami · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
#32WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Arango E.
2-6 7-5 6-1
Eala A.
Arango E.
2762
Eala A.
6511

Emiliana Arango defeated Alexandra Eala 2-6 7-5 6-1 in the Miami qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandra Eala came in ranked #32. Emiliana Arango extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayEmiliana Arango6-0 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Eala A.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Eala A.
0
Serve
20
62
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
75
Break points won·Clear edge
81
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
82
Tiebreaks·Even
75
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
7.8+257 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1895
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
78

Arango E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Eala A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast