Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga SwiatekMiami Round of 16

Miami · WTA · Round of 16
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Alexandrova E.
6-4 6-2
Swiatek I.
Alexandrova E.
662
Swiatek I.
420

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-2 in the Miami round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–1. Ekaterina Alexandrova narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-15SeoulFhardIga Swiatek1-6 7-6(3) 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-1
2025-06-22Bad HomburgQFgrassIga Swiatek6-4 7-6(5)
2024-02-12DohaR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-4
2023-04-24MadridR16clayIga Swiatek6-4 6-7(3) 6-3
2022-10-03OstravaSFhardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 2-6 6-4
2021-01-31Gippsland TrophyR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Swiatek I.
52
Serve
67
42
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (137 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
100
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1800
Surface ELO
7.7+222 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 2064
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.3
Surface form
9.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
5.7
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.0
Country comfort
6.7
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
91

Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw