Andrea Pellegrino vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Murcia CH Round of 32

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Andrea Pellegrino
ITA7
Andrea Pellegrino
#133ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
clay
ESP
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Pellegrino A.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Pellegrino A.
66462
Merida Aguilar D.
47731

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Murcia CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pellegrino A.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Pellegrino A.Merida Aguilar D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (144 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pellegrino A.Merida Aguilar D.
Clutch Rating·Even
55
55
Break points saved·Even
67
64
Break points won·Slight edge
35
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
73
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pellegrino A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Merida Aguilar D.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1654
Surface ELO
7.2+47 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
3.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pellegrino A.Merida Aguilar D.
Freshness·Clear edge
78
90

Pellegrino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Rocha H.
Basilashvili N.
3-67-607-5
Semi-finals
Rocha H.
Llamas Ruiz P.[6]
6-34-66-2
Basilashvili N.
Ramos A.[1]
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Ramos A.[1]
Yunchaokete B.
7-53-66-1
Basilashvili N.
Trungelliti M.
4-66-36-4
Rocha H.
Albot R.[5]
6-26-2
Llamas Ruiz P.[6]
Gasquet R.[2]
6-23-67-5
R16
Basilashvili N.
Blanchet U.
6-27-5
Ramos A.[1]
Jorda Sanchis D.
6-23-67-66
Yunchaokete B.
Alvarez Varona N.
7-656-3
Trungelliti M.
Pellegrino A.[7]
7-53-66-3
Albot R.[5]
Bourgue M.
7-652-66-4
Rocha H.
Barrere G.[3]
6-47-63
Llamas Ruiz P.[6]
Gakhov I.
6-37-5
Gasquet R.[2]
Vincent Ruggeri S.
6-34-66-0
R32
Llamas Ruiz P.[6]
Choinski J.
7-637-66
Pellegrino A.[7]
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-746-3
Basilashvili N.
De Jong J.[4]
6-36-2
Trungelliti M.
Barranco Cosano J.
4-66-46-3
Blanchet U.
Moro Canas A.
4-66-36-3
Vincent Ruggeri S.
Harris L.
7-646-2
Ramos A.[1]
Taberner C.
6-37-65
Jorda Sanchis D.
Hemery C.
6-36-1
Yunchaokete B.
Kuhn N.
6-43-66-3
Alvarez Varona N.
Napolitano S.[8]
6-02-66-4
Albot R.[5]
Cecchinato M.
6-46-3
Bourgue M.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
7-56-3
Rocha H.
Roca Batalla O.
6-46-2
Barrere G.[3]
Elias G.
7-646-2
Gakhov I.
Tseng C.
6-43-66-3
Gasquet R.[2]
Rodriguez Taverna S.
6-46-4