Francesco Maestrelli vs Andrea PellegrinoSzekesfehervar CH Round of 16

Szekesfehervar CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
clay
#138ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
Maestrelli F.
6-1 6-4
Pellegrino A.
Maestrelli F.
662
Pellegrino A.
140

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Andrea Pellegrino 6-1 6-4 in the Szekesfehervar CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrea Pellegrino came in ranked #138.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Pellegrino A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
67
Break points won·Clear edge
14
35
Deciding sets·Even
83
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1466
Surface ELO
5.7+187 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1674
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
2.9
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
86

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pellegrino A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast