Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Kayla DayCharleston 125 Round of 32

Charleston 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#143WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
hard
#126WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
Sasnovich A.
5-7 7-5 6-4
Day K.
Sasnovich A.
5762
Day K.
7541

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Kayla Day 5-7 7-5 6-4 in the Charleston 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kayla Day came in ranked #126.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Day K.

Day K.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Day K.
37
Serve
35
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (136 vs 100). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
39
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
66
Break points won·Slight edge
93
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+121 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1576
7.0Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1595
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.7
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Sasnovich A.: 19 days rest · Day K.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast