Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matias SotoSantiago CH Round of 32

Santiago CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
clay
#249ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Soto M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
4662
Soto M.
6431

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Matias Soto 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Santiago CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Soto M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Soto M.
24
Serve
28
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (175 vs 109). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
34
Break points saved·Dominant
90
51
Break points won·Dominant
62
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
68
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+329 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Clay Elo 1412
8.6Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
4.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.9
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
56

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Soto M.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast