Liam Draxl vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliSantiago CH Quarter-final

Santiago CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#223ATP
1592ELO
1499Clay ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Draxl L.
6-4 5-7 7-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Draxl L.
6572
Ugo Carabelli C.
4751

Liam Draxl defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 5-7 7-5 in the Santiago CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Draxl L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Draxl L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Draxl L.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 175). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
90
Break points won·Dominant
36
62
Deciding sets·Even
94
96
Tiebreaks·Even
75
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.0Clay Elo 1499
Surface ELO
8.0+242 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1592
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
8.3
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
1.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
100

Draxl L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast