Matteo Berrettini vs Aleksandar VukicPhoenix CH Semi-final

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
hard
#113ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWL
Berrettini M.
7-6 7-6
Vukic A.
Berrettini M.
77772
Vukic A.
62620

Matteo Berrettini defeated Aleksandar Vukic 7-6 7-6 in the Phoenix CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02MetzR16hardMatteo Berrettini7-6(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Vukic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Vukic A.
57
Serve
21
10
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
63%
Aces / match·Even
9.1
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
58
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
53
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 210 days (−1.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+200 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1597
7.8Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1630
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.5
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
65

Berrettini M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Vukic A.: played today · 2 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast