Matteo Berrettini vs Hugo GastonPhoenix CH Round of 32

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
hard
#107ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Berrettini M.
3-6 6-3 6-1
Gaston H.
Berrettini M.
3662
Gaston H.
6311

Matteo Berrettini defeated Hugo Gaston 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the Phoenix CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR64hardMatteo Berrettini4-6 6-3 6-3
2024-07-22KitzbuhelFclayMatteo Berrettini7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve advantage — Berrettini M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Gaston H.
57
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 148). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
91
Break points won·Even
53
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 210 days (−1.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+169 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1628
7.2Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1622
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
83
51

Berrettini M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Gaston H.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast