Nuno Borges vs Matteo BerrettiniPhoenix CH Final

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#52ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
hard
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Borges N.
7-5 7-6
Berrettini M.
Borges N.
7772
Berrettini M.
5640

Nuno Borges defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-5 7-6 in the Phoenix CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #43, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Borges N.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Borges N.Berrettini M.
36
Serve
57
16
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
9.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (142 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
81
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Even
54
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
71
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 210 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1714
Surface ELO
6.3+83 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1769
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1831
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
83

Borges N.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Berrettini M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast