Mattia Bellucci vs Marko TopoHamburg CH Round of 16

Hamburg CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
hard
#374ATP
1463ELO
1473Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLLLL
Bellucci M.
6-4 6-4
Topo M.
Bellucci M.
662
Topo M.
440

Mattia Bellucci defeated Marko Topo 6-4 6-4 in the Hamburg CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80.

Key context

  • Match story: Mattia Bellucci edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Topo M.

Topo M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Topo M.
0
Serve
40
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
28
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Slight edge
10
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
12
Tiebreaks·Even
85
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 133 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.1+205 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1473
7.2Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1463
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
0.7
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
79

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest · Topo M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast