Yuta Shimizu vs Mattia BellucciHamburg CH Quarter-final

Hamburg CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#356ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Shimizu Y.
6-4 7-6
Bellucci M.
Shimizu Y.
6772
Bellucci M.
4650

Yuta Shimizu defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-4 7-6 in the Hamburg CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #67, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Yuta Shimizu claimed a first win over Mattia Bellucci in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersQ1hardMattia Bellucci7-5 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Shimizu Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Shimizu Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shimizu Y.Bellucci M.
Serve
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
6.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
22
60
Break points saved·Dominant
65
96
Break points won·Even
9
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
27
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
59
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1417
Surface ELO
8.2+261 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1446
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1720
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
3.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Shimizu Y.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bellucci M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast