Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Bagnis — Santiago CH Final

Santiago CH · CHALLENGER · Final
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER2
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 March 2024
clay
ARG4
Facundo Bagnis
#431ATP
1591ELO
1584Clay ELO
36 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
Varillas J.
6-3 6-2
Bagnis F.
Varillas J.
662
Bagnis F.
320

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Facundo Bagnis 6-3 6-2 in the Santiago CH final on clay. The result followed the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Juan Pablo Varillas extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-17GstaadR16clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-2 6-1
2022-01-31CordobaR32clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-4 5-7 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bagnis F.

Bagnis F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Bagnis F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Bagnis F.
Clutch Rating·Even
55
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
92
Break points won·Slight edge
43
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
3

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Varillas J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Bagnis F.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
6.5+153 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1591
7.7
H2H
2.3
4.7
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
1.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Bagnis F.
Freshness·
62
—

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Varillas J.[2]
Bagnis F.[4]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Varillas J.[2]
Draxl L.
6-36-2
Bagnis F.[4]
Heide G.
6-47-61
Quarter-finals
Draxl L.
Ugo Carabelli C.[3]
6-45-77-5
Heide G.
Mager G.
6-27-65
Bagnis F.[4]
Dellien H.[7]
6-37-68
Varillas J.[2]
Passaro F.
7-54-67-66
R16
Dellien H.[7]
Gomez F.
3-66-16-0
Varillas J.[2]
Luz O.
6-32-67-63
Draxl L.
Olivieri G.[8]
6-14-66-1
Heide G.
Collarini A.
7-56-1
Mager G.
Aboian V.
5-76-16-2
Bagnis F.[4]
Boitan G.
6-46-2
Ugo Carabelli C.[3]
Buse I.
7-696-4
Passaro F.
Cerundolo J.[6]
6-17-5
R32
Bagnis F.[4]
Campana Lee G.
6-17-5
Heide G.
Barrios Vera T.[1]
6-36-4
Collarini A.
Lavagno E.
6-36-1
Aboian V.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-46-4
Mager G.
Burruchaga R.[5]
3-66-36-3
Boitan G.
Kestelboim M.
6-46-4
Gomez F.
Fonseca J.
7-622-66-4
Dellien H.[7]
Bueno G.
6-47-64
Olivieri G.[8]
Oliveira G.
2-67-56-2
Draxl L.
Sekulic P.
6-776-47-62
Buse I.
Weis A.
4-66-46-2
Ugo Carabelli C.[3]
Soto M.
4-66-46-3
Cerundolo J.[6]
Reis Da Silva J.
6-16-0
Passaro F.
Dellien Velasco M.
6-06-4
Luz O.
Olivo R.
6-32-1
Varillas J.[2]
Jubb P.
3-66-37-66