Claire Liu vs Maria Timofeeva — Indian Wells Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Claire Liu
USA
Claire Liu
#146WTA
1669ELO
1635Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
Maria Timofeeva
UZB
Maria Timofeeva
#95WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Liu C.
7-6 6-2
Timofeeva M.
Liu C.
7762
Timofeeva M.
652–

Claire Liu defeated Maria Timofeeva 7-6 6-2 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #95.

Key context

  • Match story: Claire Liu closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Liu C.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Liu C.Timofeeva M.
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 124). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Liu C.Timofeeva M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
64
76
Break points won·Clear edge
78
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Liu C.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Timofeeva M.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1608
5.1Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Liu C.Timofeeva M.
Freshness·Slight edge
83
94

Liu C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Timofeeva M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Pera B.
Osorio C.
6-23-66-1
Hibino N.
Hsieh S.
2-66-16-2
Sramkova R.
Ponchet J.
2-66-27-65
Hontama M.
Liu C.
6-15-76-3
Andreeva E.
Day K.
6-13-66-3
Montgomery R.
Hunter S.
3-66-36-4
Errani S.
Rodionova A.
6-46-0
Baptiste H.
Tauson C.
7-627-63
Masarova R.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-17-5
Townsend T.
Ngounoue C.
3-66-16-2
Parrizas Diaz N.
Podoroska N.
7-56-746-3
Hovde L.
Dart H.
6-26-3
Q1
Errani S.
Krunic A.
7-56-1
Ngounoue C.
Cornet A.
6-26-3
Podoroska N.
Gadecki O.
6-26-4
Hibino N.
Riera J.
6-34-66-3
Hsieh S.
Rakhimova K.
3-66-36-4
Townsend T.
Jovic I.
6-16-2
Baptiste H.
Snigur D.
6-26-3
Fruhvirtova L.
Bektas E.
7-646-3
Masarova R.
Watson H.
3-66-46-4
Osorio C.
Pigossi L.
4-66-36-4
Sramkova R.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-1
Hunter S.
Cristian J.
6-37-5
Montgomery R.
Bassols Ribera M.
6-46-4
Parrizas Diaz N.
Carle M.
7-656-3
Ponchet J.
Zarazua R.
5-76-36-4
Hontama M.
Siegemund L.
6-13-66-4
Liu C.
Timofeeva M.
7-656-2
Day K.
Parks A.
6-16-4
Andreeva E.
Arango E.
3-66-46-1
Rodionova A.
Galfi D.
6-27-5
Dart H.
Semenistaja D.
6-26-2
Hovde L.
Sasnovich A.
6-26-4
Tauson C.
Giavara H.
6-36-1