Iga Swiatek vs Marta KostyukIndian Wells Semi-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Swiatek I.
6-2 6-1
Kostyuk M.
Swiatek I.
662
Kostyuk M.
210

Iga Swiatek defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-1 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's semi-final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-31Roland GarrosR16clayMarta Kostyuk7-5 6-1
2024-08-12CincinnatiR16hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-2
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR16clayIga Swiatek6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Kostyuk M.
67
Serve
53
98
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+54 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1968
5.4Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
7.7
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.1
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
69

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw

Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[9]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-756-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Kostyuk M.[31]
6-26-1