Yue Yuan vs Varvara Gracheva — Indian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
CHN
Yue Yuan
#121WTA
1629ELO
1610Hard ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
Varvara Gracheva
FRA
Varvara Gracheva
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Yuan Y.
6-4 6-1
Gracheva V.
Yuan Y.
662
Gracheva V.
410

Yue Yuan defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #88, defending last year's round of 16, but Yue Yuan had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Yue Yuan extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-15RouenR16clayYue Yuan6-4 4-6 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Yuan Y.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yuan Y.Gracheva V.
30
Serve
3
35
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Yuan Y.Gracheva V.
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 126). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Yuan Y.Gracheva V.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
64
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
76
Break points won·Slight edge
77
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yuan Y.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Gracheva V.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1610
Surface ELO
6.6+153 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1629
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1810
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
2.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 17%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[9]
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-756-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Kostyuk M.[31]
6-26-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Yuan Y.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Wozniacki C.
6-41-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Potapova A.[28]
6-07-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Navarro E.[23]
5-76-26-4
R16
Potapova A.[28]
Paolini J.[13]
7-50-66-3
Yuan Y.
Kasatkina D.[11]
4-66-46-3
Gauff C.[3]
Mertens E.[24]
6-06-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Parry D.
6-23-66-3
Navarro E.[23]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-33-66-2
Wozniacki C.
Kerber A.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.[31]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-2
R32
Mertens E.[24]
Osaka N.
7-56-4
Kostyuk M.[31]
Vondrousova M.[7]
W/O
Sabalenka A.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-37-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Stephens S.
2-66-46-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-46-0
Wozniacki C.
Volynets K.
6-24-66-0
Potapova A.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-16-1
Paolini J.[13]
Kalinskaya A.[21]
6-33-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
2-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-62
Gauff C.[3]
Bronzetti L.
6-27-65
Parry D.
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[23]
Svitolina E.[16]
6-14-66-3
Kerber A.
Kudermetova V.[17]
6-47-5
Sakkari M.[9]
Garcia C.[20]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Keys M.[18]
6-46-1
R64
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-36-0
Svitolina E.[16]
Siniakova K.
6-32-66-1
Paolini J.[13]
Maria T.
6-36-3
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Sramkova R.
7-56-2
Raducanu E.
Yastremska D.[30]
4-0
Kostyuk M.[31]
Hontama M.
6-46-2
Parry D.
Fernandez L.[29]
7-55-76-2
Wozniacki C.
Vekic D.[25]
7-656-3
Potapova A.[28]
Bouzkova M.
7-56-1
Bronzetti L.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-36-4
Kerber A.
Ostapenko J.[10]
5-76-36-3
Volynets K.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-46-4
Keys M.[18]
Baptiste H.
6-44-67-64
Podoroska N.
Day K.
7-636-4
Kalinskaya A.[21]
Townsend T.
7-53-66-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.[22]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-36-1
Vondrousova M.[7]
Pera B.
6-06-2
Dolehide C.
Azarenka V.[27]
7-52-66-3
Stephens S.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-07-5
Kasatkina D.[11]
Dodin O.
6-37-65
Mertens E.[24]
Wang X.
6-16-4
Gauff C.[3]
Burel C.
2-66-37-64
Garcia C.[20]
Tomova V.
6-13-66-3
Sabalenka A.[2]
Stearns P.
6-726-27-66
Navarro E.[23]
Tsurenko L.
4-67-57-5
Noskova L.[26]
Giorgi C.
6-37-5
Yuan Y.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Alexandrova E.[15]
7-56-1
Kudermetova V.[17]
Hibino N.
6-17-5
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[14]
7-56-3
Blinkova A.
Pegula J.[5]
6-23-66-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Shnaider D.
5-76-46-0
R128
Volynets K.
Andreeva M.
7-57-5
Sramkova R.
Wang Y.
6-46-0
Burel C.
Wang X.
4-66-26-4
Parry D.
Trevisan M.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Andreeva E.
7-637-66
Giorgi C.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Putintseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-3
Kerber A.
Martic P.
6-36-4
Hibino N.
Williams V.
2-66-36-0
Wozniacki C.
Zhu L.
7-666-1
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
3-66-36-3
Bouzkova M.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-16-1
Maria T.
Rus A.
7-656-2
Parrizas Diaz N.
Kessler M.
6-37-63
Hontama M.
Zhang S.
5-76-26-0
Dolehide C.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Stephens S.
Sherif M.
7-56-3
Dodin O.
Avanesyan E.
1-66-37-64
Bronzetti L.
Frech M.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Bogdan A.
5-77-666-3
Siniakova K.
Minnen G.
7-57-63
Raducanu E.
Masarova R.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-06-4
Pera B.
Saville D.
7-54-67-65
Osaka N.
Errani S.
6-36-1
Tomova V.
Kenin S.
6-47-65
Blinkova A.
Pliskova K.
6-12-66-4
Baptiste H.
Montgomery R.
6-24-66-1
Townsend T.
Linette M.
3-67-636-1
Yuan Y.
Gracheva V.
6-46-1
Tsurenko L.
Hovde L.
6-36-1