Erika Andreeva vs Emiliana ArangoIndian Wells Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#237WTA
1553ELO
1513Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
hard
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Andreeva E.
3-6 6-4 6-1
Arango E.
Andreeva E.
3662
Arango E.
6411

Erika Andreeva defeated Emiliana Arango 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #97.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva E.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Andreeva E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Andreeva E.Arango E.
Serve
0
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (129 vs 126). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
57
Break points saved·Even
56
56
Break points won·Slight edge
86
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
70
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1513
Surface ELO
6.1+63 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1553
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
88

Andreeva E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast