Denis Shapovalov vs Botic Van De ZandschulpIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
Shapovalov D.
6-1 6-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shapovalov D.
662
Van De Zandschulp B.
140

Denis Shapovalov defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-1 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, defending last year's round of 64. Denis Shapovalov claimed a first win over Botic Van De Zandschulp in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR128hardBotic Van De Zandschulp7-5 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-4 7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Van De Zandschulp B.
25
Serve
41
70
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
77
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Even
71
68
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
78
Tiebreaks·Even
84
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+65 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1711
5.5Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1743
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
89

Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%