Tommy Paul vs Casper Ruud — Indian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
Tommy Paul
USA17
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
Casper Ruud
NOR9
Casper Ruud
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Paul T.
6-2 1-6 6-3
Ruud C.
Paul T.
6162
Ruud C.
2631

Tommy Paul defeated Casper Ruud 6-2 1-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayCasper Ruud4-6 6.4-7.7 6-4 7.7-6.4 7-5
2022-08-29US OpenR32hardCasper Ruud7-6(3) 6-7(5) 7-6(2) 5-7 6-0
2021-02-08Australian OpenR64hardCasper Ruud3-6 6-2 6-4 7-5
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayCasper Ruud6-1 1-6 6-3 1-6 6-3
2017-07-31WashingtonR64hardTommy Paul3-6 7-5 3-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Ruud C.
71
Serve
59
54
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Ruud C.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Even
6.0
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 146). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Ruud C.
Clutch Rating·Even
93
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
87
75
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Ruud C.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1881
Surface ELO
4.9+8 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1983
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
8.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.4
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Ruud C.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
97

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Medvedev D.[4]
7-656-1
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[4]
Paul T.[17]
1-67-636-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[3]
1-66-36-2
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[3]
Lehecka J.[32]
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Ruud C.[9]
6-21-66-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Rune H.[7]
7-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-1
R16
Zverev A.[6]
De Minaur A.[10]
5-76-26-3
Rune H.[7]
Fritz T.[12]
2-67-626-3
Ruud C.[9]
Monfils G.
3-67-636-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Dimitrov G.[13]
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[32]
Tsitsipas S.[11]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[3]
Shelton B.[16]
7-646-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Marozsan F.
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Nardi L.
6-46-3
R32
Dimitrov G.[13]
Mannarino A.[21]
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Humbert U.[14]
6-46-4
Ruud C.[9]
Fils A.
6-26-4
Monfils G.
Norrie C.[28]
6-757-656-3
Fritz T.[12]
Baez S.[19]
6-26-2
Rune H.[7]
Musetti L.[26]
6-27-65
Lehecka J.[32]
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Shelton B.[16]
Cerundolo F.[22]
7-653-67-65
Sinner J.[3]
Struff J.[25]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[27]
7-676-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Bublik A.[20]
7-56-0
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-26-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[31]
6-26-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Korda S.[29]
6-45-76-3
Nardi L.
Djokovic N.[1]
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Tiafoe F.[18]
6-36-3
R64
Nardi L.
Zhang Z.
6-33-66-3
Ruud C.[9]
Klein L.
6-47-64
Mannarino A.[21]
Machac T.
6-16-2
Fritz T.[12]
Tabilo A.
7-626-2
Rune H.[7]
Raonic M.
W/O
Cerundolo F.[22]
Shevchenko A.
6-23-1
Bublik A.[20]
Shang J.
6-46-1
De Minaur A.[10]
Daniel T.
6-16-2
Auger Aliassime F.[31]
Lestienne C.
6-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Norrie C.[28]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Monfils G.
Hurkacz H.[8]
6-06-756-2
Medvedev D.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-3
Baez S.[19]
Fognini F.
7-56-3
Musetti L.[26]
Shapovalov D.
6-42-67-5
Rublev A.[5]
Murray A.
7-636-1
Lehecka J.[32]
Nakashima B.
3-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Pouille L.
6-36-2
Shelton B.[16]
Mensik J.
4-66-36-4
Struff J.[25]
Coric B.
6-736-27-69
Sinner J.[3]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-0
Zverev A.[6]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Khachanov K.[15]
6-17-5
Marozsan F.
Jarry N.[24]
3-67-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-756-06-1
Humbert U.[14]
Kypson P.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Muller A.
7-56-2
Paul T.[17]
Michelsen A.
6-26-2
Tiafoe F.[18]
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Fils A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Vukic A.
6-25-76-3
R128
Vukic A.
Mochizuki S.
7-647-66
Lajovic D.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-56-2
Mensik J.
Hong S.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Van Assche L.
7-667-63
Shapovalov D.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-4
Pouille L.
Altmaier D.
6-46-3
Zhang Z.
Kovacevic A.
6-726-37-5
Michelsen A.
Munar J.
6-26-3
Kypson P.
Quinn E.
6-17-61
Klein L.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-686-4
Fils A.
Borges N.
7-656-2
Sonego L.
Kecmanovic M.
7-616-4
Monfils G.
Purcell M.
6-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Cobolli F.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Evans D.
6-15-76-2
Machac T.
Wawrinka S.
7-634-66-2
Muller A.
Grenier H.
7-657-5
Fognini F.
Zapata Miralles B.
4-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Nagal S.
6-36-3
Murray A.
Goffin D.
6-36-2
Nakashima B.
Eubanks C.
6-37-63
Coric B.
Ofner S.
6-23-66-0
Kokkinakis T.
Giron M.
6-37-5
Oconnell C.
Draper J.
1-66-36-2
Hanfmann Y.
Cachin P.
6-776-46-1
Shang J.
Thompson J.
6-26-3
Daniel T.
Galan D.
6-46-1
Seyboth Wild T.
Wolf J.
6-26-1
Marozsan F.
Rodionov J.
6-36-2
Lestienne C.
Kudla D.
3-66-26-4
Tabilo A.
Kotov P.
4-66-37-5
Shevchenko A.
Koepfer D.
6-31-67-63