Tommy Paul vs Luca NardiIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Paul T.
6-4 6-3
Nardi L.
Paul T.
662
Nardi L.
430

Tommy Paul defeated Luca Nardi 6-4 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Nardi L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Nardi L.
71
Serve
54
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 139). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
32
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
92
Break points won·Dominant
87
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+309 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1572
8.8Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1585
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.4
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
86

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Nardi L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%