Lorenzo Musetti vs Denis Shapovalov — Indian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA26
Lorenzo Musetti
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Denis Shapovalov
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Musetti L.
6-4 2-6 7-5
Shapovalov D.
Musetti L.
6272
Shapovalov D.
4651

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-4 2-6 7-5 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 7–5.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardLorenzo Musetti7-6(3) 7-6(6) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Shapovalov D.
54
Serve
21
62
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Musetti L.Shapovalov D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Musetti L.Shapovalov D.
Clutch Rating·Even
89
85
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Slight edge
82
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Musetti L.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Shapovalov D.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1775
7.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1771
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.6
Surface form
3.3
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Musetti L.Shapovalov D.
Freshness·
—
100

Shapovalov D.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Medvedev D.[4]
7-656-1
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[4]
Paul T.[17]
1-67-636-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[3]
1-66-36-2
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[3]
Lehecka J.[32]
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Ruud C.[9]
6-21-66-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Rune H.[7]
7-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-1
R16
Zverev A.[6]
De Minaur A.[10]
5-76-26-3
Rune H.[7]
Fritz T.[12]
2-67-626-3
Ruud C.[9]
Monfils G.
3-67-636-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Dimitrov G.[13]
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[32]
Tsitsipas S.[11]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[3]
Shelton B.[16]
7-646-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Marozsan F.
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Nardi L.
6-46-3
R32
Dimitrov G.[13]
Mannarino A.[21]
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Humbert U.[14]
6-46-4
Ruud C.[9]
Fils A.
6-26-4
Monfils G.
Norrie C.[28]
6-757-656-3
Fritz T.[12]
Baez S.[19]
6-26-2
Rune H.[7]
Musetti L.[26]
6-27-65
Lehecka J.[32]
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Shelton B.[16]
Cerundolo F.[22]
7-653-67-65
Sinner J.[3]
Struff J.[25]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[27]
7-676-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Bublik A.[20]
7-56-0
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-26-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[31]
6-26-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Korda S.[29]
6-45-76-3
Nardi L.
Djokovic N.[1]
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Tiafoe F.[18]
6-36-3
R64
Nardi L.
Zhang Z.
6-33-66-3
Ruud C.[9]
Klein L.
6-47-64
Mannarino A.[21]
Machac T.
6-16-2
Fritz T.[12]
Tabilo A.
7-626-2
Rune H.[7]
Raonic M.
W/O
Cerundolo F.[22]
Shevchenko A.
6-23-1
Bublik A.[20]
Shang J.
6-46-1
De Minaur A.[10]
Daniel T.
6-16-2
Auger Aliassime F.[31]
Lestienne C.
6-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Norrie C.[28]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Monfils G.
Hurkacz H.[8]
6-06-756-2
Medvedev D.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-3
Baez S.[19]
Fognini F.
7-56-3
Musetti L.[26]
Shapovalov D.
6-42-67-5
Rublev A.[5]
Murray A.
7-636-1
Lehecka J.[32]
Nakashima B.
3-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Pouille L.
6-36-2
Shelton B.[16]
Mensik J.
4-66-36-4
Struff J.[25]
Coric B.
6-736-27-69
Sinner J.[3]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-0
Zverev A.[6]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Khachanov K.[15]
6-17-5
Marozsan F.
Jarry N.[24]
3-67-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-756-06-1
Humbert U.[14]
Kypson P.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Muller A.
7-56-2
Paul T.[17]
Michelsen A.
6-26-2
Tiafoe F.[18]
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Fils A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Vukic A.
6-25-76-3
R128
Vukic A.
Mochizuki S.
7-647-66
Lajovic D.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-56-2
Mensik J.
Hong S.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Van Assche L.
7-667-63
Shapovalov D.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-4
Pouille L.
Altmaier D.
6-46-3
Zhang Z.
Kovacevic A.
6-726-37-5
Michelsen A.
Munar J.
6-26-3
Kypson P.
Quinn E.
6-17-61
Klein L.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-686-4
Fils A.
Borges N.
7-656-2
Sonego L.
Kecmanovic M.
7-616-4
Monfils G.
Purcell M.
6-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Cobolli F.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Evans D.
6-15-76-2
Machac T.
Wawrinka S.
7-634-66-2
Muller A.
Grenier H.
7-657-5
Fognini F.
Zapata Miralles B.
4-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Nagal S.
6-36-3
Murray A.
Goffin D.
6-36-2
Nakashima B.
Eubanks C.
6-37-63
Coric B.
Ofner S.
6-23-66-0
Kokkinakis T.
Giron M.
6-37-5
Oconnell C.
Draper J.
1-66-36-2
Hanfmann Y.
Cachin P.
6-776-46-1
Shang J.
Thompson J.
6-26-3
Daniel T.
Galan D.
6-46-1
Seyboth Wild T.
Wolf J.
6-26-1
Marozsan F.
Rodionov J.
6-36-2
Lestienne C.
Kudla D.
3-66-26-4
Tabilo A.
Kotov P.
4-66-37-5
Shevchenko A.
Koepfer D.
6-31-67-63