Zhizhen Zhang vs Aleksandar KovacevicIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#161ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Zhang Z.
6-7 6-3 7-5
Kovacevic A.
Zhang Z.
62672
Kovacevic A.
77351

Zhizhen Zhang defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-7 6-3 7-5 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128. Zhizhen Zhang claimed a first win over Aleksandar Kovacevic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-16HamburgSFclayAleksandar Kovacevic6.6-7.8 7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang Z.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Zhang Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhang Z.Kovacevic A.
24
Serve
52
0
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
33%
34%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
8.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 158). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
53
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Slight edge
14
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
43
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+31 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1611
6.1Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1636
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
0.0
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Zhang Z.: 20 days rest · Kovacevic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%