Luca Nardi vs Novak Djokovic — Indian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
ITA
Luca Nardi
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
Novak Djokovic
SRB1
Novak Djokovic
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Nardi L.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Djokovic N.
Nardi L.
6362
Djokovic N.
4631

Luca Nardi defeated Novak Djokovic 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Nardi closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nardi L.Djokovic N.
—
Serve
68
—
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Nardi L.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
7.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nardi L.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
99
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
100
Break points won·Dominant
15
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
20
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nardi L.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Djokovic N.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
10.0+450 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2059
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
7.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nardi L.Djokovic N.
Freshness·Dominant
86
49

Nardi L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Medvedev D.[4]
7-656-1
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[4]
Paul T.[17]
1-67-636-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[3]
1-66-36-2
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[3]
Lehecka J.[32]
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Ruud C.[9]
6-21-66-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Rune H.[7]
7-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-1
R16
Zverev A.[6]
De Minaur A.[10]
5-76-26-3
Rune H.[7]
Fritz T.[12]
2-67-626-3
Ruud C.[9]
Monfils G.
3-67-636-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Dimitrov G.[13]
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[32]
Tsitsipas S.[11]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[3]
Shelton B.[16]
7-646-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Marozsan F.
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Nardi L.
6-46-3
R32
Dimitrov G.[13]
Mannarino A.[21]
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Humbert U.[14]
6-46-4
Ruud C.[9]
Fils A.
6-26-4
Monfils G.
Norrie C.[28]
6-757-656-3
Fritz T.[12]
Baez S.[19]
6-26-2
Rune H.[7]
Musetti L.[26]
6-27-65
Lehecka J.[32]
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Shelton B.[16]
Cerundolo F.[22]
7-653-67-65
Sinner J.[3]
Struff J.[25]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[27]
7-676-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Bublik A.[20]
7-56-0
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-26-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[31]
6-26-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Korda S.[29]
6-45-76-3
Nardi L.
Djokovic N.[1]
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Tiafoe F.[18]
6-36-3
R64
Nardi L.
Zhang Z.
6-33-66-3
Ruud C.[9]
Klein L.
6-47-64
Mannarino A.[21]
Machac T.
6-16-2
Fritz T.[12]
Tabilo A.
7-626-2
Rune H.[7]
Raonic M.
W/O
Cerundolo F.[22]
Shevchenko A.
6-23-1
Bublik A.[20]
Shang J.
6-46-1
De Minaur A.[10]
Daniel T.
6-16-2
Auger Aliassime F.[31]
Lestienne C.
6-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Norrie C.[28]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Monfils G.
Hurkacz H.[8]
6-06-756-2
Medvedev D.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-3
Baez S.[19]
Fognini F.
7-56-3
Musetti L.[26]
Shapovalov D.
6-42-67-5
Rublev A.[5]
Murray A.
7-636-1
Lehecka J.[32]
Nakashima B.
3-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Pouille L.
6-36-2
Shelton B.[16]
Mensik J.
4-66-36-4
Struff J.[25]
Coric B.
6-736-27-69
Sinner J.[3]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-0
Zverev A.[6]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Khachanov K.[15]
6-17-5
Marozsan F.
Jarry N.[24]
3-67-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-756-06-1
Humbert U.[14]
Kypson P.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Muller A.
7-56-2
Paul T.[17]
Michelsen A.
6-26-2
Tiafoe F.[18]
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Fils A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Vukic A.
6-25-76-3
R128
Vukic A.
Mochizuki S.
7-647-66
Lajovic D.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-56-2
Mensik J.
Hong S.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Van Assche L.
7-667-63
Shapovalov D.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-4
Pouille L.
Altmaier D.
6-46-3
Zhang Z.
Kovacevic A.
6-726-37-5
Michelsen A.
Munar J.
6-26-3
Kypson P.
Quinn E.
6-17-61
Klein L.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-686-4
Fils A.
Borges N.
7-656-2
Sonego L.
Kecmanovic M.
7-616-4
Monfils G.
Purcell M.
6-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Cobolli F.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Evans D.
6-15-76-2
Machac T.
Wawrinka S.
7-634-66-2
Muller A.
Grenier H.
7-657-5
Fognini F.
Zapata Miralles B.
4-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Nagal S.
6-36-3
Murray A.
Goffin D.
6-36-2
Nakashima B.
Eubanks C.
6-37-63
Coric B.
Ofner S.
6-23-66-0
Kokkinakis T.
Giron M.
6-37-5
Oconnell C.
Draper J.
1-66-36-2
Hanfmann Y.
Cachin P.
6-776-46-1
Shang J.
Thompson J.
6-26-3
Daniel T.
Galan D.
6-46-1
Seyboth Wild T.
Wolf J.
6-26-1
Marozsan F.
Rodionov J.
6-36-2
Lestienne C.
Kudla D.
3-66-26-4
Tabilo A.
Kotov P.
4-66-37-5
Shevchenko A.
Koepfer D.
6-31-67-63