Billy Harris vs Mattia BellucciLugano CH Round of 32

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#154ATP
1508ELO
1473Hard ELO
$236kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Harris B.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Bellucci M.
Harris B.
67662
Bellucci M.
79441

Billy Harris defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Lugano CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #80. Billy Harris extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-23EastbourneR16grassBilly Harris6-3 6-4
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardMattia Bellucci6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Harris B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Harris B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Harris B.Bellucci M.
Serve
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.8
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
96
Break points won·Even
10
10
Deciding sets·Even
82
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1473
Surface ELO
7.4+205 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1720
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
6.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
100

Harris B.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast