Roberto Carballes Baena vs Flavio CobolliIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Carballes Baena R.
6-4 6-4
Cobolli F.
Carballes Baena R.
662
Cobolli F.
440

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carballes Baena R.Cobolli F.
Serve
20
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 159). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
76
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Clear edge
58
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
7.7+217 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1896
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
6.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
2.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
56

Carballes Baena R.: 17 days rest · Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%