Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Adrian MannarinoDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-6 7-5
Mannarino A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7772
Mannarino A.
6350

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-6 7-5 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Botic Van De Zandschulp extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR64hardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-4 7-5
2022-10-24BaselR32hardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-4 4-6 6-4
2022-08-22Winston-SalemSFhardAdrian Mannarino6-0 6-4
2022-01-03MelbourneR32hardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve advantage — Van De Zandschulp B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Mannarino A.
41
Serve
37
43
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.4
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (144 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
65
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
68
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1647
6.3Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1673
7.7
H2H
2.3
3.5
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
73

Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 67%