Federico Coria vs Alex Molcan — Santiago Round of 32

Santiago · ATP · Round of 32
Federico Coria
ARG
Federico Coria
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
clay
Alex Molcan
SVK
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Coria F.
6-1 7-6
Molcan A.
Coria F.
6772
Molcan A.
1610

Federico Coria defeated Alex Molcan 6-1 7-6 in the Santiago round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Federico Coria claimed a first win over Alex Molcan in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Coria came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR128clayAlex Molcan6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3
2022-05-16LyonQFclayAlex Molcan6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Coria F.Molcan A.
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Coria F.Molcan A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
90
Break points won·Slight edge
72
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Coria F.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Molcan A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
7.1+197 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1742
4.2
H2H
5.8
7.1
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
8.8
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Coria F.Molcan A.
Freshness·Clear edge
80
93

Coria F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Molcan A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 39%
Final
Baez S.[2]
Tabilo A.[4]
3-66-06-4
Semi-finals
Tabilo A.[4]
Moutet C.
4-66-47-5
Baez S.[2]
Martinez P.
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Tabilo A.[4]
Darderi L.
6-07-5
Moutet C.
Jarry N.[1]
7-657-63
Martinez P.
Fils A.[3]
6-36-756-2
Baez S.[2]
Munar J.[8]
6-46-4
R16
Baez S.[2]
Varillas J.
4-66-46-2
Jarry N.[1]
Coria F.
7-646-2
Tabilo A.[4]
Barrios Vera T.
6-27-5
Martinez P.
Diaz Acosta F.[6]
7-646-756-1
Fils A.[3]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-3
Munar J.[8]
Ramos A.
6-36-1
Moutet C.
Tirante T.
6-36-756-2
Darderi L.
Cerundolo J.
6-33-66-3
R32
Darderi L.
Bagnis F.
7-646-767-65
Cerundolo J.
Hanfmann Y.[5]
3-66-37-5
Moutet C.
Carballes Baena R.[7]
6-35-76-2
Coria F.
Molcan A.
6-17-61
Tirante T.
Fonseca J.
7-57-63
Barrios Vera T.
Garin C.
7-637-5
Martinez P.
Passaro F.
6-46-1
Seyboth Wild T.
Burruchaga R.
6-46-4
Munar J.[8]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-46-1
Ramos A.
Dellien H.
6-36-2
Varillas J.
Comesana F.
6-23-66-1
Diaz Acosta F.[6]
Cachin P.
5-76-37-62