Yafan Wang vs Lucia BronzettiAustin Round of 32

Austin · WTA · Round of 32
#358WTA
1704ELO
1673Hard ELO
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#139WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Wang Y.
7-6 6-4
Bronzetti L.
Wang Y.
7762
Bronzetti L.
6540

Yafan Wang defeated Lucia Bronzetti 7-6 6-4 in the Austin round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lucia Bronzetti came in ranked #139.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Wang Y.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Bronzetti L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Wang Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Wang Y.Bronzetti L.
Serve
12
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
51
55
Break points saved·Even
76
74
Break points won·Clear edge
62
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
65
60
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
54
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+122 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1551
7.0Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
4.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bronzetti L.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast