Sho Shimabukuro vs Mattia BellucciLille CH Round of 32

Lille CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#90ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Shimabukuro S.
6-4 6-1
Bellucci M.
Shimabukuro S.
662
Bellucci M.
410

Sho Shimabukuro defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-1 in the Lille CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #67.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shimabukuro S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shimabukuro S.Bellucci M.
Serve
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
6.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
96
Break points won·Clear edge
31
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1606
Surface ELO
6.0+72 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
4.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Shimabukuro S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bellucci M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast