Flavio Cobolli vs Felix Auger AliassimeAcapulco Round of 32

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 32
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Cobolli F.
2-6 6-3 6-2
Auger Aliassime F.
Cobolli F.
2662
Auger Aliassime F.
6321

Flavio Cobolli defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the Acapulco round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-03Roland GarrosQFclayFlavio Cobolli6-4 4-6 4-6 4-6
2024-08-05Canada MastersR64hardFlavio Cobolli6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Auger Aliassime F.
20
Serve
74
35
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
9.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
84
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Clear edge
35
50
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
6.7+123 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1958
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.9
Minutes 14d
7.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
66
64

Cobolli F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%