Otto Virtanen vs Brandon NakashimaPau CH Semi-final

Pau CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#126ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Virtanen O.
6-4 7-6
Nakashima B.
Virtanen O.
6772
Nakashima B.
4640

Otto Virtanen defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 7-6 in the Pau CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Virtanen O.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Virtanen O.Nakashima B.
Serve
61
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.6
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (144 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
48
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Slight edge
3
13
Deciding sets·Slight edge
57
64
Tiebreaks·Even
85
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1674
Surface ELO
6.2+113 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
8.4
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
90

Virtanen O.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast