Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga SwiatekDubai Semi-final

Dubai · WTA · Semi-final
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Kalinskaya A.
6-4 6-4
Swiatek I.
Kalinskaya A.
662
Swiatek I.
440

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-4 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's final. Anna Kalinskaya claimed a first win over Iga Swiatek in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Anna Kalinskaya edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardIga Swiatek6-1 1-6 6-1
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardIga Swiatek7-6(2) 6-4
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinskaya A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kalinskaya A.Swiatek I.
36
Serve
67
39
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (118 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
98
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1863
Surface ELO
7.1+159 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 2064
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
9.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
6.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
93

Kalinskaya A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 29 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Semi-finals
Paolini J.
Cirstea S.
6-27-66
Kalinskaya A.
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-4