Tatjana Maria vs Varvara GrachevaDubai Round of 64

Dubai · WTA · Round of 64
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Maria T.
6-2 6-1
Gracheva V.
Maria T.
662
Gracheva V.
210

Tatjana Maria defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-2 6-1 in the Dubai round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Tatjana Maria narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-11-07BJK Cup FinalsRRhardVarvara Gracheva0-3 RET
2023-08-21ClevelandR32hardTatjana Maria6-2 2-6 6-1
2023-02-20MeridaR32hardVarvara Gracheva3-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Maria T.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Serve advantage — Gracheva V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Maria T.Gracheva V.
9
Serve
3
13
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
50%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (133 vs 126). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
74
Break points saved·Dominant
31
76
Break points won·Slight edge
78
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
58
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
7.5+155 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1810
3.3
H2H
6.7
3.3
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
64

Maria T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 29 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw