Maria Lourdes Carle vs Caty McnallyPuerto Vallarta 125 Round of 16

Puerto Vallarta 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#218WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#57WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Carle M.
0-6 6-2 6-3
Mcnally C.
Carle M.
0662
Mcnally C.
6231

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Caty Mcnally 0-6 6-2 6-3 in the Puerto Vallarta 125 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #57.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carle M.Mcnally C.
Serve
25
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Even
49%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
73
Break points saved·Dominant
26
73
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
55
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1459
Surface ELO
8.2+272 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
97

Carle M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast