Maria Lourdes Carle vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroPuerto Vallarta 125 Quarter-final

Puerto Vallarta 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#218WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#62WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWL
Carle M.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Carle M.
4662
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6421

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the Puerto Vallarta 125 quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Bouzas Maneiro came in ranked #62. Maria Lourdes Carle extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06HobartR32hardMaria Lourdes Carle6-3 3-6 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carle M.Bouzas Maneiro J.
Serve
15
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
44%
Service points won·Even
52%
54%
Return points won·Even
49%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
5.2
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
53
Break points saved·Dominant
26
53
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
55
86
Tiebreaks·Even
5
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1459
Surface ELO
7.4+204 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1721
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
9.2
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
83

Carle M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast