Alex De Minaur vs Sebastian KordaRotterdam Round of 32

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 32
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
De Minaur A.
6-4 6-3
Korda S.
De Minaur A.
662
Korda S.
430

Alex De Minaur defeated Sebastian Korda 6-4 6-3 in the Rotterdam round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardAlex De Minaur4-6 6-4 6-4
2024-06-10s HertogenboschFgrassAlex De Minaur6-2 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersR64hardAlex De Minaur6-4 4-6 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassSebastian Korda6-3 6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Korda S.
48
Serve
61
80
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
87
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
97
73
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+170 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1765
5.7Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1809
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
6.2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
8°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 85%