Nao Hibino vs Mai HontamaDoha Qualifying Round 1

Doha · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#235WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#202WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLWLW
Hibino N.
6-4 6-2
Hontama M.
Hibino N.
662
Hontama M.
42

Nao Hibino defeated Mai Hontama 6-4 6-2 in the Doha qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mai Hontama came in ranked #202, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Nao Hibino claimed a first win over Mai Hontama in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-25TokyoR32hardMai Hontama6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Hibino N.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Hontama M.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Hibino N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (134 vs 125). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
39
27
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
66
28
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+82 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1442
6.2Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1480
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.5
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
86

Hibino N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Hontama M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast