Michael Geerts vs Brandon NakashimaCherbourg CH Round of 16

Cherbourg CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#333ATP
1400ELO
1383Hard ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Geerts M.
6-4 6-4
Nakashima B.
Geerts M.
662
Nakashima B.
440

Michael Geerts defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-4 in the Cherbourg CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31.

Key context

  • Match story: Michael Geerts edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Geerts M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Geerts M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Geerts M.Nakashima B.
Serve
61
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (134 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
9
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
99
Break points won·Slight edge
3
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.2Hard Elo 1383
Surface ELO
9.8+405 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1839
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
7.6
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
5.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast