Federico Coria vs Sebastian OfnerBuenos Aires Round of 32

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 32
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
clay
#125ATP
1713ELO
1680Clay ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Coria F.
7-5 4-6 7-5
Ofner S.
Coria F.
7472
Ofner S.
5651

Federico Coria defeated Sebastian Ofner 7-5 4-6 7-5 in the Buenos Aires round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Ofner came in ranked #125.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 112). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
67
70
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
93
Break points won·Dominant
72
43
Deciding sets·Even
78
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
76
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
6.6+165 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1713
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
8.7
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.7
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
77

Coria F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 94%