Federico Coria vs Cameron NorrieBuenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
clay
#38ATP
1829ELO
1788Clay ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Coria F.
6-2 4-6 6-3
Norrie C.
Coria F.
6462
Norrie C.
2631

Federico Coria defeated Cameron Norrie 6-2 4-6 6-3 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #38, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Federico Coria claimed a first win over Cameron Norrie in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Coria closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-08-31US OpenR64hardCameron Norrie6-3 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Coria F.Norrie C.
Serve
25
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
89
Break points saved·Dominant
71
99
Break points won·Slight edge
72
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.3Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
8.7+272 Clay Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 1829
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
0.0
5.7
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
100

Coria F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Norrie C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 94%