Sebastian Baez vs Luciano DarderiBuenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
clay
#18ATP
1835ELO
1836Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Baez S.
6-4 7-5
Darderi L.
Baez S.
672
Darderi L.
450

Sebastian Baez defeated Luciano Darderi 6-4 7-5 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Luciano Darderi came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 5–3, but Sebastian Baez had been the form player, winning 7 of their last 7 on clay. Sebastian Baez narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23SantiagoSFclayLuciano Darderi6-4 6-3
2026-02-09Buenos AiresSFclayLuciano Darderi7-6(2) 6-1
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardLuciano Darderi6-3 1-6 6-4 6-3
2025-07-14BastadQFclayLuciano Darderi6-0 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardSebastian Baez6-4 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4)
2024-07-15HamburgQFclaySebastian Baez2-6 6-4 6-4
2024-02-05CordobaSFclayLuciano Darderi6-1 3-6 6-3
2023-02-06CordobaR16claySebastian Baez6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Darderi L.

Darderi L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Darderi L.
7
Serve
46
43
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 158). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Dominant
86
50
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
6.0+118 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1835
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.6
Surface form
8.7
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.9
Minutes 14d
3.0
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Baez S.: 15 days rest · Darderi L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 94%