Federico Coria vs Sebastian BaezBuenos Aires Quarter-final

Buenos Aires · ATP · Quarter-final
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
clay
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Coria F.
6-1 6-4
Baez S.
Coria F.
662
Baez S.
140

Federico Coria defeated Sebastian Baez 6-1 6-4 in the Buenos Aires quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, defending last year's round of 32. Federico Coria extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-17BastadR32clayFederico Coria6-4 4-6 7-6(5)
2023-02-06CordobaFclaySebastian Baez6-1 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Coria F.Baez S.
Serve
1
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
87
Break points saved·Dominant
71
96
Break points won·Clear edge
72
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
76
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
7.0+202 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1759
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.4
Surface form
8.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
4.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.7
Country comfort
6.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
96

Coria F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 94%