Tomas Machac vs Lorenzo MusettiMarseille Round of 16

Marseille · ATP · Round of 16
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Machac T.
6-3 6-2
Musetti L.
Machac T.
662
Musetti L.
320

Tomas Machac defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-2 in the Marseille round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tomas Machac claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardLorenzo Musetti5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Musetti L.
30
Serve
54
25
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
89
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
80
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0+26 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
6.0Hard Elo 1804
3.5Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
2.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
11°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 54%