Hubert Hurkacz vs Tomas MachacMarseille Quarter-final

Marseille · ATP · Quarter-final
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#53ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Hurkacz H.
6-3 6-4
Machac T.
Hurkacz H.
662
Machac T.
340

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Tomas Machac 6-3 6-4 in the Marseille quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tomas Machac came in ranked #53, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Hubert Hurkacz claimed a first win over Tomas Machac in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-27United CupRRhardTomas Machac7-5 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Machac T.
67
Serve
30
0
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.5
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
90
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
40
80
Deciding sets·Even
94
94
Tiebreaks·Even
97
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
6.1+103 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1866
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.6
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Hurkacz H.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
11°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 54%