Hugo Gaston vs Denis ShapovalovMarseille Round of 32

Marseille · ATP · Round of 32
#118ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Gaston H.
7-5 1-6 6-3
Shapovalov D.
Gaston H.
7162
Shapovalov D.
5631

Hugo Gaston defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-5 1-6 6-3 in the Marseille round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Hugo Gaston claimed a first win over Denis Shapovalov in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Hugo Gaston closed it out in three sets, 7–5 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12RotterdamQ2hardDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-0
2024-01-29MontpellierR32hardDenis Shapovalov6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Serve advantage — Shapovalov D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gaston H.Shapovalov D.
Serve
25
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (148 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
99
Break points won·Clear edge
57
71
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1628
Surface ELO
6.9+147 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1771
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
7.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.7
Country comfort
4.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
98

Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
11°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 54%